A Transformer Network With Sparse Augmented Data Representation and Cross Entropy Loss for AIS-Based Vessel Trajectory Prediction
Résumé
Vessel trajectory prediction plays a pivotal role in numerous maritime applications and
services. While the Automatic Identification System (AIS) offers a rich source of information to address
this task, forecasting vessel trajectory using AIS data remains challenging, even for modern machine
learning techniques, because of the inherent heterogeneous and multimodal nature of motion data. In this
paper, we propose a novel approach to tackle these challenges. We introduce a discrete, high-dimensional
representation of AIS data and a new loss function designed to explicitly address heterogeneity and
multimodality. The proposed model—referred to as TrAISformer—is a modified transformer network that
extracts long-term temporal patterns in AIS vessel trajectories in the proposed enriched space to forecast the
positions of vessels several hours ahead.We report experimental results on real, publicly available AIS data.
TrAISformer significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods, with an average prediction performance
below 10 nautical miles up to ∼10 hours.
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