Reexamining the Estimation of Tropical Cyclone Radius of Maximum Wind from Outer Size with an Extensive Synthetic Aperture Radar Dataset - IMT Atlantique
Article Dans Une Revue Monthly Weather Review Année : 2023

Reexamining the Estimation of Tropical Cyclone Radius of Maximum Wind from Outer Size with an Extensive Synthetic Aperture Radar Dataset

Résumé

Abstract The radius of maximum wind R max, an important parameter in tropical cyclone (TC) ocean surface wind structure, is currently resolved by only a few sensors so that, in most cases, it is estimated subjectively or via crude statistical models. Recently, a semiempirical model relying on an outer wind radius, intensity, and latitude was fit to best-track data. In this study we revise this semiempirical model and discuss its physical basis. While intensity and latitude are taken from best-track data, R max observations from high-resolution (3 km) spaceborne synthetic aperture radar (SAR) and wind radii from an intercalibrated dataset of medium-resolution radiometers and scatterometers are considered to revise the model coefficients. The new version of the model is then applied to the period 2010–20 and yields R max reanalyses and trends that are more accurate than best-track data. SAR measurements corroborate that fundamental conservation principles constrain the radial wind structure on average, endorsing the physical basis of the model. Observations highlight that departures from the average conservation situation are mainly explained by wind profile shape variations, confirming the model’s physical basis, which further shows that radial inflow, boundary layer depth, and drag coefficient also play roles. Physical understanding will benefit from improved observations of the near-core region from accumulated SAR observations and future missions. In the meantime, the revised model offers an efficient tool to provide guidance on R max when a radiometer or scatterometer observation is available, for either operations or reanalysis purposes.
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Dates et versions

hal-04466894 , version 1 (12-02-2024)
hal-04466894 , version 2 (20-02-2024)

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Arthur Avenas, Alexis Mouche, Pierre Tandeo, Jean-Francois Piolle, Dan Chavas, et al.. Reexamining the Estimation of Tropical Cyclone Radius of Maximum Wind from Outer Size with an Extensive Synthetic Aperture Radar Dataset. Monthly Weather Review, 2023, 151 (12), pp.3169-3189. ⟨10.1175/MWR-D-23-0119.1⟩. ⟨hal-04466894v2⟩
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